The over/under on total rounds has the most consistent edge in my data. Public bettors go under because they want excitement. This inflates over prices by approximately 8% across all weight classes. A 40% fight finishing in under X rounds is often priced at 52% implied. The over is systematically cheap.
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The over/under on total rounds has the most consistent edge in my data. Public bettors go under because they want excitement. This inflates over prices by approximately 8% across all weight classes. A 40% fight finishing in under X rounds is often priced at 52% implied. The over is systematically cheap.
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