The over/under on total rounds has the most consistent edge in my data. Public bettors go under because they want excitement. This inflates over prices by approximately 8% across all weight classes. A 40% fight finishing in under X rounds is often priced at 52% implied. The over is systematically cheap.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/topic/662/why-i-bet-the-over-on-total-rounds-more-than-any-other-marketRSS for NodeSun, 26 Apr 2026 13:25:40 GMTFri, 24 Apr 2026 22:28:27 GMT60The over/under on total rounds has the most consistent edge in my data. Public bettors go under because they want excitement. This inflates over prices by approximately 8% across all weight classes. A 40% fight finishing in under X rounds is often priced at 52% implied. The over is systematically cheap.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/post/1541https://spveforpit.com/post/1541Fri, 24 Apr 2026 22:28:27 GMT