Market implied probability for the top 4 bracket: team ratings didn't support the implied probabilities. Three teams were underpriced by 7-12 percentage points. I posted this before the tournament. I'm posting the results now: all three outperformed their implied probability. The math was right.
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Market implied probability for the top 4 bracket: team ratings didn't support the implied probabilities. Three teams were underpriced by 7-12 percentage points. I posted this before the tournament. I'm posting the results now: all three outperformed their implied probability. The math was right.
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