• Statistical significance in small tournament samples โ€” stop overreacting

    A team wins two tournaments. People call it a dynasty. Two tournaments is not a statistically significant sample. You need minimum 15 events to have 80% confidence in performance consistency. Most esports orgs make roster decisions on 3-5 data points. This is why rosters break down within a year.

  • A team wins two tournaments. People call it a dynasty. Two tournaments is not a statistically significant sample. You need minimum 15 events to have 80% confidence in performance consistency. Most esports orgs make roster decisions on 3-5 data points. This is why rosters break down within a year.