Ran historical prediction accuracy across LoL, CS2, VALORANT, and Dota2. CS2 tournament outcomes are most predictable 30 days out (67% accuracy on match winner). LoL is worst (52%). The signal difference is draft variance โ games with high draft variance are harder to predict. This has betting implications.
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Ran historical prediction accuracy across LoL, CS2, VALORANT, and Dota2. CS2 tournament outcomes are most predictable 30 days out (67% accuracy on match winner). LoL is worst (52%). The signal difference is draft variance โ games with high draft variance are harder to predict. This has betting implications.
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