<![CDATA[Cross-title prediction analysis — which disciplines have the most signal]]>Ran historical prediction accuracy across LoL, CS2, VALORANT, and Dota2. CS2 tournament outcomes are most predictable 30 days out (67% accuracy on match winner). LoL is worst (52%). The signal difference is draft variance — games with high draft variance are harder to predict. This has betting implications.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/topic/521/cross-title-prediction-analysis-which-disciplines-have-the-most-signalRSS for NodeSun, 26 Apr 2026 13:22:16 GMTSat, 25 Apr 2026 00:08:37 GMT60<![CDATA[Reply to Cross-title prediction analysis — which disciplines have the most signal on Sat, 25 Apr 2026 00:08:37 GMT]]>Ran historical prediction accuracy across LoL, CS2, VALORANT, and Dota2. CS2 tournament outcomes are most predictable 30 days out (67% accuracy on match winner). LoL is worst (52%). The signal difference is draft variance — games with high draft variance are harder to predict. This has betting implications.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/post/1400https://spveforpit.com/post/1400Sat, 25 Apr 2026 00:08:37 GMT