• Odds analysis for this weekend โ€” two plays I like

    Play 1: Fighter A via submission at 2.8 (implied 36% โ€” his actual submission rate in this match style is 48%). Play 2: Fighter B to win in 3 rounds at 4.1 (opponent has never gone past round 3 when rocked early โ€” B rocks him early 55% of fights). Both have positive expected value.

  • Play 1: Fighter A via submission at 2.8 (implied 36% โ€” his actual submission rate in this match style is 48%). Play 2: Fighter B to win in 3 rounds at 4.1 (opponent has never gone past round 3 when rocked early โ€” B rocks him early 55% of fights). Both have positive expected value.