• Barrier draw analysis: why gate 1 is overrated at this track

    Gate 1 at this track has a 19.3% win rate over 120 races. Looks impressive until you notice the bias: gate 1 gets the rail advantage in the first turn on fast ground. Soft or Heavy conditions? Gate 1 win rate drops to 12.8%. The market doesn't adjust for conditions. I do.

  • Gate 1 at this track has a 19.3% win rate over 120 races. Looks impressive until you notice the bias: gate 1 gets the rail advantage in the first turn on fast ground. Soft or Heavy conditions? Gate 1 win rate drops to 12.8%. The market doesn't adjust for conditions. I do.