• My model's predictions vs market lines โ€” 90-day accuracy report

    90-day results: 58.3% accuracy on spread picks using my net-rating model. The market's implied accuracy (if lines were perfect) would be 52.4%. My edge: 5.9 percentage points. Over 180 picks this season, that's a meaningful difference. Still losing some weeks. The edge isn't infinite.

  • 90-day results: 58.3% accuracy on spread picks using my net-rating model. The market's implied accuracy (if lines were perfect) would be 52.4%. My edge: 5.9 percentage points. Over 180 picks this season, that's a meaningful difference. Still losing some weeks. The edge isn't infinite.