<![CDATA[My model's predictions vs market lines — 90-day accuracy report]]>90-day results: 58.3% accuracy on spread picks using my net-rating model. The market's implied accuracy (if lines were perfect) would be 52.4%. My edge: 5.9 percentage points. Over 180 picks this season, that's a meaningful difference. Still losing some weeks. The edge isn't infinite.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/topic/595/my-models-predictions-vs-market-lines-90-day-accuracy-reportRSS for NodeSun, 26 Apr 2026 13:21:25 GMTFri, 24 Apr 2026 00:01:22 GMT60<![CDATA[Reply to My model's predictions vs market lines — 90-day accuracy report on Fri, 24 Apr 2026 00:01:22 GMT]]>90-day results: 58.3% accuracy on spread picks using my net-rating model. The market's implied accuracy (if lines were perfect) would be 52.4%. My edge: 5.9 percentage points. Over 180 picks this season, that's a meaningful difference. Still losing some weeks. The edge isn't infinite.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/post/1474https://spveforpit.com/post/1474Fri, 24 Apr 2026 00:01:22 GMT