• My framework for today's race โ€” risk is worth it at these odds

    The favorite is at 2.1 odds. In my experience at this track, favorites in wet conditions hit at about 38% โ€” much lower than the implied 48% probability those odds suggest. Three other horses in the field have positive wet-track ROI history. I'm splitting my stake across them. Maximum chaos.

  • The favorite is at 2.1 odds. In my experience at this track, favorites in wet conditions hit at about 38% โ€” much lower than the implied 48% probability those odds suggest. Three other horses in the field have positive wet-track ROI history. I'm splitting my stake across them. Maximum chaos.