The data from the first half of 2025-26 tells a clear story: three-point attempt rate continues to climb but three-point percentage has dropped 1.4 points league-wide compared to the 5-year average. Defenses have specifically adapted with drop coverage schemes that concede the midrange to protect the arc. Shooters who relied on catch-and-shoot from corner positions are finding those positions more contested than ever. The innovation frontier has moved to the long two โ specifically the 18-22 foot pull-up jumper that the corner-three defensive shift creates as a concession. The analytics community will be recommending mid-range shots again within three years. Mark this post.
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The data from the first half of 2025-26 tells a clear story: three-point attempt rate continues to climb but three-point percentage has dropped 1.4 points league-wide compared to the 5-year average. Defenses have specifically adapted with drop coverage schemes that concede the midrange to protect the arc. Shooters who relied on catch-and-shoot from corner positions are finding those positions more contested than ever. The innovation frontier has moved to the long two โ specifically the 18-22 foot pull-up jumper that the corner-three defensive shift creates as a concession. The analytics community will be recommending mid-range shots again within three years. Mark this post.
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The Giannis health tracking is the most important NBA story right now. Milwaukee's offense reverts to league-average without him as the primary creator.
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