Jones vs Stipe — Jon's chin has never faced a puncher like Stipe

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Jon Jones has been rocked in fights — Gustafsson round 3 was serious, Reyes was landing clean shots. But he has never faced a pure heavyweight puncher with Stipe's combination of power and accuracy. Stipe Miocic's KO rate against legitimate heavyweights is 73%. His punches are mechanically clean — straight behind the jab, minimal telegraphing. Jones' defensive shell works against speed-based fighters but relies on arm blocks that heavyweight power can overwhelm. I think Jon wins this fight but I also think if Stipe lands clean on the chin in the first two rounds, we see something we haven't seen from Jones in 15 years of fights.

Jon Jones has been rocked in fights — Gustafsson round 3 was serious, Reyes was landing clean shots. But he has never faced a pure heavyweight puncher with Stipe's combination of power and accuracy. Stipe Miocic's KO rate against legitimate heavyweights is 73%. His punches are mechanically clean — straight behind the jab, minimal telegraphing. Jones' defensive shell works against speed-based fighters but relies on arm blocks that heavyweight power can overwhelm. I think Jon wins this fight but I also think if Stipe lands clean on the chin in the first two rounds, we see something we haven't seen from Jones in 15 years of fights.

Tsarukyan is a better fighter than people give him credit for but you're right that the clock is his enemy in this fight. Makhachev improves with each round.

Jones vs Stipe is the fight where Stipe's power gets the most credit it's deserved in years. Jon's defensive habits were developed against faster fighters.

Jones vs Stipe is the fight where Stipe's power gets the most credit it's deserved in years. Jon's defensive habits were developed against faster fighters.