Grand National selection process: eliminate any horse without a clean jumping record over regulation fences (cuts the field by 40%), eliminate any horse whose handicap mark has risen more than 8lb since their last win (market overrater filter), eliminate horses without a proven stamina test over 3m+. That leaves you around 15-18 horses from the full field. From there I weight: proven Aintree experience most heavily, then trainer Grand National record, then ground adaptability. My eight this year are horses that check all three boxes. The race is unpredictable but the process cuts the noise and focuses the bet.
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Grand National selection process: eliminate any horse without a clean jumping record over regulation fences (cuts the field by 40%), eliminate any horse whose handicap mark has risen more than 8lb since their last win (market overrater filter), eliminate horses without a proven stamina test over 3m+. That leaves you around 15-18 horses from the full field. From there I weight: proven Aintree experience most heavily, then trainer Grand National record, then ground adaptability. My eight this year are horses that check all three boxes. The race is unpredictable but the process cuts the noise and focuses the bet.
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The each-way value point is legitimate โ when Mullins has multiple runners in a race, the market shortens all of them and creates genuine value in the place terms.
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With your input, this post could be even better ๐
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