• My risk-managed portfolio for this card โ€” stake sizing explained

    Race 1: 2 units (value bet, 8-10% edge estimate). Race 4: 3 units (best price of the meeting, 12% edge). Race 7: 1 unit (speculative, 5% edge, wide field). Race 9: 2 units (strong form horse, market undervaluing). Total exposure: 8 units. If all lose: -8 units. Expected value: +1.4 units.

  • Race 1: 2 units (value bet, 8-10% edge estimate). Race 4: 3 units (best price of the meeting, 12% edge). Race 7: 1 unit (speculative, 5% edge, wide field). Race 9: 2 units (strong form horse, market undervaluing). Total exposure: 8 units. If all lose: -8 units. Expected value: +1.4 units.