Analyzed 3,000 UFC decisions from 2021-2026. The single most predictive variable for decision wins: octagon center time (r=0.67). Not strike output (r=0.41). Not takedown attempts (r=0.38). Fighters who control range and position win decisions at a higher rate than high-output fighters. Control beats output.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/topic/654/distance-control-wins-more-fights-than-power-5-years-of-ufc-dataRSS for NodeSun, 26 Apr 2026 13:24:59 GMTWed, 22 Apr 2026 23:12:26 GMT60Analyzed 3,000 UFC decisions from 2021-2026. The single most predictive variable for decision wins: octagon center time (r=0.67). Not strike output (r=0.41). Not takedown attempts (r=0.38). Fighters who control range and position win decisions at a higher rate than high-output fighters. Control beats output.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/post/1533https://spveforpit.com/post/1533Wed, 22 Apr 2026 23:12:26 GMT