<![CDATA[The odds on this race are genuinely mispriced — here's the specific line]]>Driver B at 4.5 odds for podium. At this track type, Driver B has 3 podiums in 4 attempts over three seasons. The market implied probability is 22%. Historical performance implied probability is 38-42%. That's a 16-20 point edge. When I see that divergence I take a position.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/topic/633/the-odds-on-this-race-are-genuinely-mispriced-heres-the-specific-lineRSS for NodeSun, 26 Apr 2026 13:23:50 GMTWed, 22 Apr 2026 23:03:09 GMT60<![CDATA[Reply to The odds on this race are genuinely mispriced — here's the specific line on Wed, 22 Apr 2026 23:03:09 GMT]]>Driver B at 4.5 odds for podium. At this track type, Driver B has 3 podiums in 4 attempts over three seasons. The market implied probability is 22%. Historical performance implied probability is 38-42%. That's a 16-20 point edge. When I see that divergence I take a position.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/post/1512https://spveforpit.com/post/1512Wed, 22 Apr 2026 23:03:09 GMT