I ran net rating differentials for all 16 playoff teams. The correlation between season net rating and playoff series win rate is 0.71 — strong but not deterministic. Three teams are currently underseeded based on net rating. Two of them will upset. I won't say which two but the data is publicly available.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/topic/568/nba-playoff-prediction-the-team-with-the-best-differential-wins-the-seriesRSS for NodeSun, 26 Apr 2026 13:23:21 GMTThu, 23 Apr 2026 20:07:50 GMT60I ran net rating differentials for all 16 playoff teams. The correlation between season net rating and playoff series win rate is 0.71 — strong but not deterministic. Three teams are currently underseeded based on net rating. Two of them will upset. I won't say which two but the data is publicly available.

]]>https://spveforpit.com/post/1447https://spveforpit.com/post/1447Thu, 23 Apr 2026 20:07:50 GMT